{"id":593,"date":"2024-07-09T15:54:59","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T08:54:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vbmcomputer.com\/?p=593"},"modified":"2026-01-07T09:12:06","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T02:12:06","slug":"canh-bac-the-ky-cua-big-tech-ai-phai-mang-ve-600-ty-usd-moi-nam-moi-du-bu-chi-phi-dau-tu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vbmcomputer.com\/?p=593","title":{"rendered":"Canh b\u1ea1c th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 c\u1ee7a Big Tech: AI ph\u1ea3i mang v\u1ec1 600 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ee7 b\u00f9 chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cho \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t trong c\u01a1n l\u1ed1c AI n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ai kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i NVIDIA.<\/h2>\n

L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng AI \u0111ang cu\u1ed1n ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3. C\u00e1c \u00f4ng l\u1edbn c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed5 h\u00e0ng t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ea7n d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 xem x\u00e9t li\u1ec7u doanh thu th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u1eeb AI c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 n\u00e0y hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

David Cahn, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1ea1i Sequoia Capital, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn gi\u1eefa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng doanh thu t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng AI v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng doanh thu th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i AI. \u00d4ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng doanh thu AI h\u00e0ng n\u0103m c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 chi tr\u1ea3 cho c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00e0 200 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n

G\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t n\u0103m sau – kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian NVIDIA tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ty c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi – con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 600 t\u1ef7 USD m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0o khi\u1ebfn Cahn \u0111\u01b0a ra k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

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\"Canh<\/a><\/div>
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NVIDIA \u0111ang l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t AI hi\u1ec7n nay<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ph\u0169 ph\u00e0ng cho c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u AI<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d4ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng c\u1ee9 m\u1ed7i 1 USD chi cho GPU, s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n kho\u1ea3ng 1 USD cho chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh GPU \u0111\u00f3 trong trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. Trong qu\u00fd 4\/2023, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o doanh thu trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a NVIDIA l\u00e0 50 t\u1ef7 USD. \u00d4ng nh\u00e2n con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00ean 2 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u1ed5ng chi ph\u00ed cho c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u AI, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u AI n\u00e0y c\u00f3 chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 GPU v\u00e0 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng 100 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n

Sau \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng nh\u00e2n con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00ean 2 l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn g\u1ed9p 50% cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng cu\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a GPU.<\/p>\n

T\u00ednh to\u00e1n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng cho th\u1ea5y c\u1ea7n 200 t\u1ef7 USD doanh thu trong v\u00f2ng \u0111\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ban \u0111\u1ea7u cho c\u00e1c GPU n\u00e0y. V\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ch\u01b0a bao g\u1ed3m b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn n\u00e0o cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e1m m\u00e2y – \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u01b0\u01a1ng, t\u1ed5ng doanh thu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

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\"Canh<\/a><\/div>
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C\u00e1c GPU c\u1ee7a NVIDIA \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh “kho\u1ea3n thu\u1ebf” b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty mu\u1ed1n gia nh\u1eadp s\u00e2n ch\u01a1i AI<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u0110\u1ebfn qu\u00fd 4\/2024, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o doanh thu trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Nvidia d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t 150 t\u1ef7 USD, khi\u1ebfn t\u1ed5ng chi ph\u00ed GPU v\u00e0 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u AI t\u0103ng l\u00ean 300 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 doanh thu AI c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n v\u1ed1n l\u00ean t\u1edbi 600 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n

T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ea7n b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng cu\u1ed1i hay ch\u1ec9 \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n nhu c\u1ea7u trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Cahn d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng doanh thu AI c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n v\u1ed1n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t 100 t\u1ef7 USD, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean chip B100 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Nvidia, c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n 2,5 l\u1ea7n v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 25%. “T\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi chip NVIDIA<\/i>,” Cahn n\u00f3i. “B100 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed so v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t so v\u1edbi H100, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung kh\u00e1c khi m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c B100 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay<\/i>.”<\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady, \u00f4ng Cahn tin r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n chi ti\u00eau n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1ng gi\u00e1. \u00d4ng v\u00ed von chi ti\u00eau cho GPU gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eaft, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u00ec t\u00e0u h\u1ecfa s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

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\"Canh<\/a><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c CEO t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1u t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a AI trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng doanh thu. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng doanh thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Big Tech trong qu\u00fd 1 cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ec9 h\u01a1n hai qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. V\u00ed d\u1ee5 Microsoft cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a AI l\u00ean 7 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 31% c\u1ee7a Azure. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00f4ng Cahn c\u0169ng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 n\u00ean th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng xem x\u00e9t ai l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1eafng v\u00e0 ai l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi thua khi nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

“Lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng th\u1eeba m\u1ee9a,” \u00f4ng n\u00f3i. “C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00f4ng ty s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c AI – v\u00e0 h\u1ecd s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng h\u01a1n, v\u00ec h\u1ecd s\u1ebd h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb c\u1ea3 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m n\u00e0y.”<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 x\u1ea3y ra, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i. Cu\u1ed9c \u0111ua AI \u0111ang n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng li\u1ec7u kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng? Ch\u1ec9 th\u1eddi gian m\u1edbi c\u00f3 c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n:genk.vn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cho \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ng\u01b0\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t trong c\u01a1n l\u1ed1c AI n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ai kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i NVIDIA. L\u00e0n s\u00f3ng AI \u0111ang cu\u1ed1n ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3. 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